Why might your own preference seem more popular than it is?
Your own choice can feel so ordinary that you expect most people to make it too. Psychologists call an overestimate of that agreement the false-consensus effect. The puzzle is how to tell a biased expectation from a reasonable guess based on the people you actually know.
Questions you could explore
- Whose opinions would you sample before estimating how common a preference is?
- When might the people around you give a misleading picture of a wider group?
Start reading
- American Psychological Association Dictionary of PsychologyFalse-consensus effect
APA defines the effect and distinguishes it from false uniqueness. This brief entry supplies the concept; use research studies for specific experiments or explanations.
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