Why is it so hard to test a simple if-then rule?
Four cards show A, D, 4, and 7. Each has a letter on one side and a number on the other. To test ‘if there is a vowel on one side, there is an even number on the other,’ which cards must you turn? Explore why a possible counterexample matters more than another confirming example.
Questions you could explore
- Why do A and 7 need checking, while seeing an even number does not require a vowel on the other side?
- How does reversing the if-then rule change which evidence would count against it?
Start reading
- Occidental College, Saul Traiger teaching materialsWason Selection Task Exercise
Works through which cards could disprove an if-then rule, and why a matching example is not always informative.
Ready to try your ideas aloud?
Your topic carries over. Record up to 2½ minutes, depending on your plan.