Why can confident speakers seem more reliable than accurate ones?
Imagine choosing between a hesitant adviser and one who sounds certain, then discovering the hesitant person was right. Advice-taking research separates the impression of confidence from how well it tracks accuracy. Explore how listeners could learn which speaker's confidence deserves trust.
Questions you could explore
- How could a listener learn whether a person’s confidence is informative?
- How does calibration compare a person's stated confidence with their accuracy across many judgments?
Start reading
- Pescetelli and Yeung / arXivThe role of decision confidence in advice-taking and trust formation
Manipulates the relationship between advisers’ confidence and accuracy in a defined judgment task. It is evidence about advice evaluation, not a rule that confident public speakers are untrustworthy.
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