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Why can an asteroid look riskier after we learn more about its orbit?

New observations can briefly make an asteroid's estimated impact chance rise. A shrinking range of possible paths may still include Earth, concentrating the possibilities before later measurements move the range clear of it. A changing estimate can therefore reflect improving knowledge rather than an asteroid suddenly changing course.

3–5 min

Questions you could explore

  • How would you explain a rising estimate without treating it as either certainty or an error?

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Space

Why does the Moon change shape during a month?

A crescent Moon is not a partly switched-off Moon. Sunlight still illuminates half of it, while its changing position around Earth changes how much of that lit half we can see.

3–5 min

Why does the Moon change shape during a month?

Space3–5 minA crescent Moon is not a partly switched-off Moon. Sunlight still illuminates half of it, while its changing position around Earth changes how much of that lit half we can see.

Space

Two eclipses, two different shadows

A solar eclipse and a lunar eclipse both involve the Sun, Earth, and Moon, but the shadow falls in a different place. In one, the Moon’s shadow reaches Earth; in the other, the Moon moves into Earth’s shadow. The Moon’s tilted orbit helps explain why these alignments do not happen every month.

5–7 min

Two eclipses, two different shadows

Space5–7 minA solar eclipse and a lunar eclipse both involve the Sun, Earth, and Moon, but the shadow falls in a different place. In one, the Moon’s shadow reaches Earth; in the other, the Moon moves into Earth’s shadow. The Moon’s tilted orbit helps explain why these alignments do not happen every month.

Space

What can a century-old photograph tell us about a changing sky?

An old astronomical glass plate preserves an observation that cannot be made again today. Harvard’s plate archive brings such records into digital comparison, alongside dates, logbooks, and calibration work. The glass image alone is not the whole dataset; knowing how and when it was made changes what can be inferred from it.

8–10 min

What can a century-old photograph tell us about a changing sky?

Space8–10 minAn old astronomical glass plate preserves an observation that cannot be made again today. Harvard’s plate archive brings such records into digital comparison, alongside dates, logbooks, and calibration work. The glass image alone is not the whole dataset; knowing how and when it was made changes what can be inferred from it.

Why can an asteroid look riskier after we learn more about its orbit? | Speech Topic | speaking.app