Why can a baby bust echo for decades?
A small birth cohort does not disappear from a population chart when childhood ends. It becomes a smaller group of young adults and, later, potential parents. Even if births per parent recover, the number of people having children may remain different. Following one cohort through time makes that echo easier to understand.
Questions you could explore
- How would migration change the path of the same cohort?
- Why can total births change even when an average fertility measure stays the same?
Start reading
- US Census BureauAbout Population Projections
Explains how population projections age existing cohorts and create new birth cohorts under stated assumptions.
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