When can a confident delivery outrun the evidence behind it?
Someone can sound certain without being especially accurate. Advice-taking experiments can separate how confident an adviser appears from how reliably that confidence tracks correct answers, making trust more complicated than delivery alone.
Questions you could explore
- How could a listener learn whether a person’s confidence is informative?
Start reading
- Pescetelli and Yeung / arXivThe role of decision confidence in advice-taking and trust formation
Manipulates the relationship between advisers’ confidence and accuracy in a defined judgment task. It is evidence about advice evaluation, not a rule that confident public speakers are untrustworthy.
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