How can screening find a real abnormality without helping the person screened?
A test can correctly detect a cancer that would never have caused symptoms or harm during that person’s lifetime. This is overdiagnosis: finding more disease does not, by itself, tell us how many people have been helped.
Questions you could explore
- How is overdiagnosis different from a false alarm?
- Which outcomes would show whether a screening program improves health?
Start reading
- www.cancer.govWhat Cancer Screening Statistics Really Tell Us
Explains overdiagnosis and why detection or survival counts can mislead. Its hypothetical example illustrates the statistical problem; benefits and harms must be evaluated for the particular screening program and population.
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