Why do fewer missed signals sometimes mean more false alarms?
An uncertain signal creates two possible mistakes: overlooking something real or reacting to something that is not there. Lowering the threshold for saying “yes” can reduce misses while increasing false alarms. It changes the decision rule, without necessarily improving the underlying information.
Questions you could explore
- How might different consequences change the threshold someone chooses?
- What would better information change that a lower threshold cannot?
Start reading
- David Heeger, New York UniversitySignal Detection Theory
David Heeger’s NYU teaching notes distinguish information from criterion and map the four possible decision outcomes.
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